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[转帖] Tibet weather forecast 15 days accuracy rate?Tibet weather forecast 15 days query the sky

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楼主
发表于2024-02-26 21:53:30 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
    
    • 1. Is the accuracy of the weather forecast in the next 15 days high?一手资讯
    • 2. How high the accuracy of the weather forecast for 15 days
    • 3. Jiuzhaigou weather forecast 15 days accuracy rate

    1. The accuracy rate of 15 days in Shanghai is more than 80 %.The forecast within three days of the Central Meteorological Observatory is more accurate, and the local meteorological station is more accurate within two days.Under normal circumstances, the accuracy rate of 24 hours is 95 %, the accuracy rate of 48 hours is about 90 %, and the accuracy of weather forecasting within 96 hours is about 60 %.

    2. The accuracy rate is average.The weather forecast for the next 15 days is not very accurate.Because the chaos of the atmospheric process and today's science did not finally thoroughly understand the atmospheric process, the weather forecast always has a certain error.No prediction model can completely simulate the evolution of the atmosphere. It can only be approximate, so there must be errors.

    3. The short -term forecast is the most accurate. According to the radar and satellite detection data, the local strong storm system is monitored to monitor the situation, and they predict that they will move in the next 1-6 hours.The forecast for the next 3-15 days mainly includes what weather processes are affected by the weather, whether disaster weather can occur, and the major weather changes.

    Tibet weather forecast 15 days accuracy rate?Tibet weather forecast 15 days query the sky-1st picture

    The 15 -day accuracy rate of weather forecast for Chengdu is not high.All weather forecasts are similar, and they have certain accuracy.No prediction model can completely simulate the evolution of the atmosphere. It can only be approximate, so there must be errors.And the error will produce accumulation. The longer the forecast time, the greater the error.

    The accuracy of the Shanghai weather forecast is more than 80 %.The forecast within three days of the Central Meteorological Observatory is more accurate, and the local meteorological station is more accurate within two days.Under normal circumstances, the accuracy rate of 24 hours is 95 %, the accuracy rate of 48 hours is about 90 %, and the accuracy of weather forecasting within 96 hours is about 60 %.

    At present, the current situation of the weather forecast forecast is currently more than 80%of our weather forecast.Of course, this is a 24 -hour forecast. It is conceivable that the forecast of the next half month is very low.

    Ge Xiaoqing, director of the Xiamen Meteorological Bureau, revealed when answering the mayor's special line yesterday that during the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" period, the city will further improve the accuracy rate of meteorological forecasting and early warning.More than 90%, the average forecast error of the 24 -hour typhoon path will be controlled within 60 kilometers.

    At present, our weather forecast accuracy is above 80%.Of course, this is a 24 -hour forecast. It is conceivable that the forecast of the next half month is very low.For this matter, I wasted for nearly 30 years.

    1. Through comprehensive analysis of the data of meteorological data and monitoring equipment, the Jiuzhaigou tourism management department can accurately predict the weather in 15 days.Generally speaking, the accuracy of the weather forecast of Jiuzhaigou is more than 80%, especially in winter, the prediction accuracy is higher.

    2. According to the comparison of the 15 -day weather forecast of Jiuzhaigou in the past, the accuracy of weather forecasting in the next 15 days is high.Jiuzhaigou National Nature Reserve belongs to the humid climate of the plateau.

    3. The weather forecast of Jiuzhaigou is generally inaccurate.

    4. The weather forecast of Jiuzhaigou is very accurate, and there are also some time that are not accurate.The weather forecast of Jiuzhaigou is accurate for most of the time, and there are also some time that are not very accurate.


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